The incumbent Assembly member from suburban Milwaukee shook his head in dismay.
Yes, he admitted, his campaign may have to spend a stunning $200,000 on his re-election bid. That’s a $200,000 IOU he’d be responsible for someday, and not money from any Republican Party group. He raised less than half of that amount to be re-elected two years ago.
Yet his race was one of eight Assembly races in which all sides—candidates, the campaign committees of their parties and third-party groups—had spent close to $800,000 or more as of Oct. 19, according to the Wisconsin Democracy Campaign, which tracks campaign spending.
Because Oct. 19 was still two weeks away from Election Day, total spending in most or all of those eight Assembly races could easily total $1 million each. That’s for a job as a legislator that pays $52,000 a year.
But the Assembly incumbent should be thankful he’s not running in one of the five state Senate races that will determine which party controls that house for the 2021-22 legislative session.
Wisconsin Democracy Campaign totals last week showed that spending by all sides in two of those Senate races through Oct. 19 was $2.45 million and $2.35 million.
Neither will probably break the record for spending on a seat in the Legislature: $4.5 million in the 2018 election won by Republican Sen. Howard Marklein of Spring Green.
“The ‘big money’ race shows no signs of abating here in Wisconsin, as it’s taking obscene amounts of money now to win a contested race for the Assembly and Senate,” said Wisconsin Democracy Campaign Executive Director Matt Rothschild.
“There’s no end in sight,” Rothschild added. “Candidates are becoming increasingly beholden to big donors and to outside groups—not to their constituents. This does not bode well for democracy.”
According to Wisconsin Democracy Campaign records, the five costliest races as of Oct. 19 were:
- $2.45 million spent in the La Crosse area’s 32nd Senate District. Independent third-party groups spent $762,596; Democrat Brad Pfaff and Democratic Party groups, $1.3 million, and Republican Dan Kapanke and Republican Party groups, $354,149.
- $2.35 million spent in the Green Bay-based 30th Senate District. Independent third-party groups spent $926,392; Democrat Jonathan Hansen and Democratic Party groups, $1.13 million, and Republican Eric Wimberger and Republican Party groups, $286,578.
- $1.66 million spent in the 10th Senate District, which includes many commuters to Twin Cities jobs. Independent third-party groups spent $671,464; Democratic Sen. Patty Schachtner and Democratic Party groups, $532,755; and Republican Rep. Rob Stafsholt and GOP groups, $465,543.
- $1.52 million spent in the 8th Senate District, which includes parts of four Milwaukee-area counties. Independent groups spent $518,304; Democrat Neal Plotkin and Democratic Party groups, $543,153; and Republican Sen. Alberta Darling and Republican Party groups, $468,072.
- $1.38 million spent in the 14th Assembly District that includes parts of Milwaukee and Waukesha counties. Independent groups spent $295,879; Democratic Rep. Robyn Vining and Democratic Party groups, $858,132; and Republican Bonnie Lee and Republican Party groups, $226,461.
Rothschild and Jay Heck, executive director of Common Cause in Wisconsin, said there is one noticeable fundraising trend this year: Democrats are out-raising Republicans.
“Democrats are beating Republicans at their own game. Independent expenditure groups that spend on behalf of Democrats have outspent their counterparts by 64% to 36%. And the Democratic Party of Wisconsin has out-raised the Republican Party of Wisconsin 71% to 29%.”
“Trump is the chief fundraiser for groups supporting Democrats, since antipathy to him runs so high among wealthy liberal donors,” Rothschild said. Trump’s candidacy may mean “cement shoes” for “down ballot” Republicans, he added.
The state Republican Party lost $2.3 million to computer hackers, however.
Heck said Republicans are using changes in campaign-finance laws they passed that allow candidates and third-party groups to work together.
“The enhanced fundraising prowess of the DPW (Democratic Party of Wisconsin) has made the Democratic spending possible, and the Republican candidates, with less support from the RPW (Republican Party of Wisconsin), are relying heavily on coordinated support from outside special-interest groups,” Heck said.
“Wisconsin is only one of two states in the country—Florida is the other—where this issue advocacy coordination is legal. It is not even legal at the federal level."